As mentioned, I spent the week away investigating a sunbelt city for potential investment opportunities. From that standpoint, I think this city, which is cyclical, is closer to the expensive end of the cycle than the point where a real timing play exists. However, from a longer term perspective, even at these prices, if you have patience, you'll probably do well by focusing on a certain subset of areas within the MSA.
My other takeaway kind of follows from the Ehrenhalt book. To me, in order to really be a city, you need to have some semblance of areas where pedestrians can walk around. Without it, you're really just talking about a more urban suburban area, and the term "city" is being misused. At least as a New Yorker, that's how I feel.
Finally, came across this interesting tidbit from the Capital & Crisis newsletter by Chris Mayer: "In my experiences from Mongolia to Colombia, the best opportunities in these situations often come not from mining, but from owning real estate first of all, and also simple consumer businesses and the stock exchange (if you can)."
Broken Money
The subtitle is Why Our Financial System is Failing Us and How We Can Make it Better , and the author is Lyn Alden (2023). I feel like I hav...
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In light of my previous post, here's what I'm thinking: buy some GLD $180 calls that expire 3/16/13. Right now, you can get them fo...
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I sounded "sad" in yesterday's post, but really I am pretty sanguine about the election. Change is going to come even if the ...
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I came across this really interesting chart regarding 2013 and 2014 EPS forecasts by region and globally. Note the very pronounced move fr...