Wednesday, July 5, 2017

Wealth, Poverty and Politics

It is the Revised and Enlarged Edition and the author is Thomas Sowell (2016).

I found this one to be special.  Even if it falls under the category of a book that confirms my priors and where the last 75 pages were fairly repetitive.  The author is a PhD economist at Stanford who is African American and loosely affiliated with libertarianism and Austrian theory.  That makes him a unique bird, and it follows that his perspective is illuminating and insightful.

The book largely refutes what we think we know about income inequality.  His “opponent” is the intelligentsia who ascribe disparities in wealth to a sinister force of rich people who exploit the poor to achieve their ends.  What the author provides in response is all of the various factors of time and space that lead to another way of understanding unequal outcomes, all without having to enlist social justice warriors to the cause.

For starters, “geography is not egalitarian”.  For those who live in the mountains, or in a country where the national river system is not as robust or as deep or as navigable because of waterfalls and cascades (interesting fact: Africa has twice the landmass of Europe, but Europe has a longer coastline), or where the climate leads to land that is less fertile, or where there is extreme linguistic diversity even between neighboring towns and villages, there is a resulting isolation and lower standard of living that is not sinister or otherwise avoidable through policy.

Beyond geography, there are also cultural realities which result in unequal outcomes and are not a function of one group exploiting another.  Put differently, Sowell describes “cultural heredity” which is passed from generation to generation within ethnic groups and leads to values that prioritize education, for example.  And not every group shares the same ethos.  Moreover, some societies are more receptive to other cultures, which enhances advancement and develops human capital.  Where there is greater cultural isolation, the advances of others are less likely to be introduced.  Again, all of these contribute to disparities and gaps between countries on an international basis, and within national borders themselves.

There are also countless examples in history of countries where foreign minorities or different ethnic groups are demonized when they outperform the majority population, even where these groups introduced industries that had not existed before and which were net positive to productivity and the well-being of all citizens (think Jews in Eastern Europe or the Japanese in Peru).  Ultimately, these groups left and take the human capital with them, to detriment of the entire society.

Now, in response to these various differences which can lead to unequal outcomes, there is usually a chorus of academics and politicians who try to romanticize the lagging groups and suggest that some group of “rich” exploiters is to blame.  What they focus on is efforts to equalize outcomes, glossing over the empirical realties and negative consequences.  They also tend to ignore that there is a difference between equal opportunity and equal probability of achieving a particular outcome.  Striving for the latter is to disregard the preferences of millions of consumers who have chosen to part with their incomes to purchase a certain good or service.  Moreover, as Sowell points out, since the advent of the welfare state in America in the 1960s, there has actually been a retrogression within the very groups that were targeted for assistance and support.  If that is the result, and clearly it is by the numbers, then to continue down that path is to focus on optics rather than actual outcomes.  And, in fact, these visions have dissuaded many groups from actually developing the human capital that allows groups to rise out of poverty over time (Jews, wherever they have settled, are a great example of such a phenomena).  Out of challenge and response comes progress.

In more recent times, there has been even greater focus on income inequality and what to do about it because of work by Thomas Piketty and Paul Krugman, amongst others.  And in this work, the notion of income distribution commonly takes for granted the production part, ignoring how if incentives are skewed, production will not necessarily remain constant.  Moreover, this work seems to treat income quintiles and the “rich” and “poor” as static monoliths.  In fact, there is tremendous turnover amongst these different segments – in part, because the richest incomes in any given year are commonly a result of capital gains, which are not necessarily recurring; but also because the lowest to highest quintiles tend to reflect the progression of workers as they rise up the ladder, with the youngest and least experienced in the lowest rung, and those with years and lengthy careers under their belts at the highest rung.  That makes sense and is how it should be in an upwardly mobile society where there is equal opportunity to succeed.  In addition, even as the richest take an even greater share of the pie, that hasn’t precluded everyone else from seeing greater productivity and increased incomes as well.

In the end, economic success is not just a lottery of luck.  It requires an investment in human capital, and from that is where the opportunity lies to increase the size of the pie.

Broken Money

The subtitle is Why Our Financial System is Failing Us and How We Can Make it Better , and the author is Lyn Alden (2023). I feel like I hav...